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See also: Cops, Robbers, & Research
Fear in Paradise: Film at 11
by Jim Bleyer
To serve us our nightly dose of murder and mayhem, it's become downright
comical how far TV newscasters will go nowadays.
On a recent six-o'clock segment, the announcer-speaking
with textbook gravity-led off by telling viewers about a convenience store
clerk who was shot and killed during a hold-up. Police had no suspect for
the killer of this 27-year-old single-parent mother who worked two jobs.
The punch line to this otherwise senseless tragedy?
The crime occurred at 11 p.m. the night before the newscast, seven counties
away-a distance of 140 miles-roughly 80 miles beyond the TV station's coverage
area.
"If it bleeds, it leads" continues to be broadcast
journalism's holy mantra, much to the dismay of media-watch organizations
who've made "media-bashing" something of a national sport. Unfounded or
not, some of the loudest criticisms of how TV news shows handle crime are
emerging today in the face of unprecedented research on the topic.
A survey done last year by Rocky Mountain Media
Watch, for example, studied the crime-news content of 100 newscasts in
56 cities and found that, on average, a whopping 30 percent of these shows'
air time is routinely devoted to crime reporting.
Viewers believe what they're seeing, too. The Rocky
Mountain study came on the heels of a Harris poll conducted by The Center
for Media and Public Affairs that showed that local TV newscasts not only
are Americans' number-one source of news, but viewers think they're more
accurate and credible than national TV news, local newspapers or any other
source, the poll found.
TV stations are merely feeding us a steady diet
of crime news because that's what we want, broadcasters allege. So what's
wrong with that?
Possibly a lot. In Florida, for example, citizens
may be suffering from an abnormal fear of crime in their communities, thanks
largely to nightly barrages of crime reporting that too often reflect a
willingness by broadcasters to go to any lengths necessary to find sensational
acts of violence and lawlessness to put on the air.
New findings by FSU criminologist Dr. Ted Chiricos (Ph.D. Massachusetts),
a nationally-recognized expert on the fear of crime, support his conclusion
that Floridians are worrying more about crime even though the state's crime
rate is on the decline and has been for years.
"We're not saying that Floridians are irrationally
worrying about crime, because Florida still has one of the highest crime
rates in the country," says Chiricos. "But the fact is, fear of crime in
Florida has increased year to year when statistics show crime has actually
gone down. So, there's an apparent disconnect between actual trends in
crime and public perceptions of it."
First in 1996 and again last year, Chiricos-along
with colleague Dr. Marc Gertz and doctoral students Ranee McEntire and
Rhonda Dobbs-directed the largest surveys of public attitudes on crime
ever conducted in Florida. The 1997 study synthesized the opinions of 4,500
residents on their perceptions about law enforcement, juvenile crime and
justice and the prevalence of crime in their communities. Those surveyed
also were quizzed about how often they watched local newscasts. The studies
were funded primarily by the Florida Department of Community Affairs with
other support from the Florida Department of Law Enforcement, the Florida
Department of Juvenile Justice, and FSU's School of Criminology and Criminal
Justice.
Crime rates in the Sunshine State have in fact been
on a six-year decline-and are the lowest in a decade-but Floridians' fear
of crime has gone in the opposite direction, Chiricos found.
While both surveys showed widespread satisfaction
with police protection in Florida and support for less punitive measures
in dealing with juvenile offenders, Chiricos said the surveys indicate
an important link between the fear of crime and exposure to media coverage
of crime. The research also shows an apparent relationship between those
who favor harsh penalties for juveniles and frequency of viewing local
television news.
The fact that crime is decreasing in Florida may
be a surprise to many, but statistics are on the books to prove it, says
Chiricos. Numbers compiled by the FBI and the overall rate of serious crimes-which
include murder, aggravated assault, forcible rape, robbery, burglary, larceny,
and auto theft-has show a steady decline since 1991.
While one or two of these crime components may increase
in any given period (for example, a big jump in domestic violence statewide
was reported this spring) the index as a whole declined in Florida during
the two-year survey.
The study shows an interesting relationship between
peoples' TV-watching habits and their fear of crime.
"People who watch more televised local news are more fearful but total
TV watching is unrelated to fear," asserts Chiricos. "Seeing local television
news seven or more times a week is a fear trigger. People who watch with
that kind of frequency are twice as fearful as those who don't watch local
news at all."
The survey coincides with a less detailed, national
Gallup poll which asked Americans if they viewed crime as a major societal
problem. After languishing in the three to six percent range for two decades,
the numbers quietly crept up in the early nineties. A dramatic increase
from nine percent in 1993 to 54 percent one year later paralleled a 400
percent increase in television coverage of crime.
Chiricos has written extensively on media-driven
"panics" about violent crime, even in the face of declining crime rates,
and the subsequent effects on society. His most recent survey also shows:
-Support for harsher measures
by television news watchers to combat juvenile crime.
-Fear of crime varies from
city to city with the demographic composition of those surveyed a major
factor.
-Concern about crime nationally
is higher among Floridians than the national average that is reflected
in the Gallup survey.
-Less surprisingly, crime
victims or family members of crime victims expressed more fear of crime.
Survey respondents were asked to rate on a scale
of one to 10, with one being not at all fearful and 10 being very fearful,
how much they would fear any of six crimes: being murdered, being sexually
assaulted, being robbed or mugged, having one's home broken into while
there, having the home broken into while away, and a stolen automobile.
Respondents were profiled according to gender, race,
age, income, city, total hours watching television, times watching local
television news and the perceived credibility of television crime news.
One of the most illuminating portions of the survey
shows that total hours watching television had virtually no correlation
with having a high fear of crime. The percentage of respondents watching
television from zero to six hours a week and having a high fear of crime
was 16.9 percent compared with 16.8 percent for those watching 22 or more
hours per week.
When specifically asked about local television news,
the results were vastly different. High fear nearly doubled-from 9.7 percent
to 18.7 percent-from those who never watched local news to those who watched
seven or more times.
The perceived credibility of television news significantly
affected the survey outcome. Of those who believed television crime news
is underestimated or accurate, 18.9 percent had a high fear of crime. This
compares with 15.9 percent for those who think television crime news is
exaggerated a little and 14.2 percent for those who perceive a lot of exaggeration.
Those who viewed television news with the most frequency
also were more apt to list crime as Florida's most important problem. More
than 43 percent of respondents watching television news seven or more times
a week rated crime as Florida's most important problem compared with 32.6
percent of those who never watched local television news.
On juvenile crime, the survey reflects a trending
toward more rehabilitative measures than punitive ones. Measures receiving
the highest support and their percentages were: more jobs, 83.4; programs
for pregnant teens, 82.8; role model programs, 81; and prevention programs,
75.2. The harshest measures drew the least support-locking up more juveniles,
46.6, and the death penalty, 37.0.
A breakdown by income demographics shows the highest
income group-above $50,000-less willing to support any of the measures
than the less than $30,000 and $30,000-$50,000 groups. All three categories,
however, showed year-to-year decreases in support for the harsh measures
and increased support for the others. For example, the study indicates:
-A decrease in support for
locking up juveniles among the total sample from 53.7 percent in 1996 to
46.6 percent in 1997.
-A decrease in support for
the death penalty from 47.4 percent to 37.0 percent.
-An increase in support for
more jobs to be made available for young people, from 74.0 percent to 83.4
percent.
-An increase from 60.0 percent
to 64.4 percent in support for letting kids stay late after school.
Television viewing of local news also appeared to
have influenced attitudes about what to do about juvenile crime. Most frequent
watchers advocated locking up more juveniles and better curfew laws. Those
who never watched television news supported the two measures to a significantly
lesser extent.
Floridians also apparently feel safer in their homes
and neighborhoods than the average citizen. Only 5.1 percent considered
themselves unsafe at home and 13 percent felt imperiled in their neighborhood,
according to the Chiricos-led 1997 survey. The 1996 nationwide Gallup survey
showed a dramatic difference with the respective figures being 16 percent
and 29 percent.
The "feeling safe" portion of the Florida survey
also reflected significant differences by gender and ethnicity. Hispanic
women felt the most afraid with the percentages for home and neighborhood
18.6 and 43.1 respectively. The percentages for white females were 4.8
and 13.0 and for blacks, the figures were 10.6 and 18.6.
Only 1.7 percent of white males felt unsafe at home
compared with 2.5 percent for black males and 7.4 percent for Hispanic
males. Asked about their neighborhood, six percent of white males said
they felt unsafe compared with 6.4 percent for black males and 25.6 percent
for Hispanic males.
Respondents were asked about their perceptions of
the level of law enforcement. Those more satisfied with police protection
were whites and Hispanic males; those less satisfied were blacks and Hispanic
females.
Those in cities with populations of higher than 250,000 were less apt
to be satisfied with police protection (70.2 percent) than those in small
towns of less than 20,000 (81.2 percent).
Other survey results regarding police perception:
-Victims were less likely
to be satisfied than non-victims, 66.3 percent to 80.1 percent.
-More whites and Hispanic
males were likely to agree that "police treat everyone the same;" blacks
and Hispanic females were far less likely to do so. The most agreement
was expressed by Hispanic males at 62.8 percent while black males voiced
the least agreement at 37.3 percent.
-More satisfaction with police
was expressed by people with low crime fear (85.8 percent) compared with
those with medium fear (76.0 percent) and high fear (65 percent.
The survey showed respondents generally satisfied
with police protection but again, there were significant differences among
those with varying degrees of crime fear. In the low fear category, 85.8
percent expressed satisfaction with police compared with 76 percent of
those with medium fear and 65 percent of those with high fear of crime.
Another part of the survey, which asked respondents
if they were very concerned or not concerned about various crimes, again
showed a correlation with television news viewing. Of the most frequent
viewers, 81.8 percent were highly concerned with violent crime if Florida.
In those who never watched, 71.2 percent expressed high concern.
The gap widened to 63.9 percent and 80.9 percent
when respondents were asked about crime in general (violent and non-violent)
in Florida. There was a much narrower difference between non-viewers and
frequent viewers when expressing high concern for neighborhood crime. percentages
were 46.2 for non-viewers and 48.6 for those watching television news seven
or more times a week.
Other high fear findings in terms of demographics:
-High fear of crime decreased
by income. Those earning less than $15,000 had 27 percent; $15,000-$30,000,
19 percent; $30,000-$50,000, 14.9 percent; $50,000-$75,000, 12.3 percent;
and more than $75,000, 11.8 percent.
-The city showing the greatest
percentage of crime fear was Hialeah with 43.3 while Ft. Myers was lowest
with 9.3. Hialeah has a high Hispanic population ; Ft. Myers has many retirees.
Interestingly, Hialeah experienced the largest year-to-year decrease, 8.6
percent, from 1996 to 1997.
-Experience as a victim or
family member of a victim was a high fear factor with non-victims indicating
14.1 percent and 16.0 percent in 1996 and 1997 compared with 18.7 percent
and 21 percent for victims and relatives of victims.
In addition to conducting a third survey this year,
Chiricos will conduct another 1998 survey, in cooperation with the Collins
Center and the Poynter Institute, with an intriguing media/crime perception
wrinkle. An Orlando television station recently changed its news programming
to devote a smaller percentage to crime coverage. The separate, new survey
will compare attitudes of that station-s viewers with others who see local
news on other Orlando-area stations.
Meanwhile, dropping crime rates in Florida may be
bottoming out, say researchers, with a new crime wave on the horizon. The
consensus among criminologists and students of public policy is that the
decrease in crime over the past decade is linked to the fact the percentage
of young males in the general population decreased. Chiricos notes that
the "baby boom echo," the children of baby boomers, will shortly enter
their crime-prone years.
With the country's demographics about to change,
Chiricos says there is a strong possibility that as actual crime reverses
its downward trend, fear and reality will more closely coincide.
For more on that, stay tuned.
TV Time and Fear of Crime
The FSU study grouped respondents into four categories
of viewers of local TV news--those who didn't watch at all (0); those watching
one to three times a week; those watching four to six times and those watching
seven or more times weekly. As this graph shows, nearly 10 percent (9.7)
of respondents who never watch indicate a high fear of crime (scoring eight
or more points on a 10-point scale). The fear rate nearly doubles among
those tuning in seven times or more.
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